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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Sean O'Malley won · U-DEC R3

Elo1533

Elo1367

Sean O'MalleyvsTerrion WareUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · Friday, December 1, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean O'Malley won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSean O'Malley: StrikervsTerrion Ware: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Terrion Ware wins(57.7%)

Actual result: Sean O'Malley wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Terrion Ware at +190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Terrion Ware enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sean O'Malley has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Sean O'Malley has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Sean O'Malley

Red Corner

Terrion Ware

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1533

Elo

1367

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean O'MalleyW2 streak

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Mar 24

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24

SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25

vs Song Yadong · Jan 26

KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26

latest

Terrion WareL3 streak

oldest →

vs Cody Stamann · Jul 17

vs Tom Duquesnoy · Mar 18

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean O'MalleyMetricTerrion Ware

6.05

Strikes / min

4.02

3.40

Strikes absorbed / min

6.07

60%

Strike defense

50%

0.24

TDs / 15 min

0.50

60%

Takedown defense

44%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.65Δ 4.70 — meaningful gap-2.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean O'MalleyTerrion Ware

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean O'Malley(10 fights)Terrion Ware(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +165.5|Blue -165.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean O'MalleyTargetTerrion Ware

By target zone

119

53% acc · 84%

Head

24% acc · 67%

77% acc · 14%

Body

63% acc · 19%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

60% acc · 14%

By position

131

54% acc · 93%

Distance

31% acc · 94%

86% acc · 4%

Clinch

29% acc · 6%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean O'Malley rounds

even

Terrion Ware rounds

Round 1Sean O'Malley edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 2Sean O'Malley edged it

Sig. strikes58

Takedowns0

Control0:00

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:32Control

Round 3Sean O'Malley edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns3

Control0:27

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

141 / 252

Sig Strikes

88 / 288

55%

Sig Str %

29.3%

142 / 255

Total Strikes

96 / 296

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 2

37.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

1:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Terrion Ware	23 / 79	26 / 82	0 / 0
1	Sean O'Malley	32 / 71	32 / 71	0 / 2
2	Terrion Ware	46 / 124	51 / 129	0 / 0
2	Sean O'Malley	58 / 89	59 / 90	0 / 0
3	Terrion Ware	19 / 85	19 / 85	0 / 2
3	Sean O'Malley	51 / 92	51 / 94	3 / 4

Sean O'Malley

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Terrion Ware

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4