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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Sean O'Malley won · U-DEC R3

Elo1533

Elo1376

Sean O'MalleyvsAndre SoukhamthathUFC Prediction Result

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Saturday, March 3, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean O'Malley won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSean O'Malley: StrikervsAndre Soukhamthath: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Sean O'Malley wins(82.3%)

Actual result: Sean O'Malley wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean O'Malley at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean O'Malley has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Sean O'Malley

Red Corner

Andre Soukhamthath

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1533

Elo

1376

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sean O'MalleyW2 streak

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Mar 24

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24

SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25

vs Song Yadong · Jan 26

KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26

latest

Andre SoukhamthathL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alejandro Perez · Aug 17

KOvs Luke Sanders · Dec 17

vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 18

vs Montel Jackson · Apr 19

vs Su Mudaerji · Aug 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sean O'MalleyMetricAndre Soukhamthath

6.05

Strikes / min

2.77

3.40

Strikes absorbed / min

4.31

60%

Strike defense

49%

0.24

TDs / 15 min

1.25

60%

Takedown defense

58%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.65Δ 4.19 — meaningful gap-1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sean O'MalleyAndre Soukhamthath

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sean O'Malley(10 fights)Andre Soukhamthath(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +157.3|Blue -157.3

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +8.0|Blue -8.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sean O'MalleyTargetAndre Soukhamthath

By target zone

49% acc · 65%

Head

19% acc · 28%

71% acc · 24%

Body

75% acc · 36%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

82% acc · 36%

By position

53% acc · 84%

Distance

32% acc · 64%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

100% acc · 14%

Ground

89% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sean O'Malley rounds

even

Andre Soukhamthath rounds

Round 1Sean O'Malley edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean O'Malley edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:55

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:23Control

Round 3Andre Soukhamthath edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:35Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 111

Sig Strikes

25 / 60

56.7%

Sig Str %

39%

73 / 121

Total Strikes

42 / 79

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 7

—

TD %

53.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:55

Ctrl Time

5:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Soukhamthath	4 / 19	4 / 19	0 / 1	0
1	Sean O'Malley	28 / 54	28 / 54	0 / 0	0
2	Andre Soukhamthath	5 / 18	13 / 26	1 / 1	0
2	Sean O'Malley	23 / 35	31 / 43	0 / 0	3
3	Andre Soukhamthath	16 / 23	25 / 34	3 / 5	0
3	Sean O'Malley	12 / 22	14 / 24	0 / 0	0

Sean O'Malley

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Andre Soukhamthath

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7