Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Scott Holtzman won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1443
Elo1379

Scott HoltzmanvsDong Hyun MaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · Saturday, August 3, 2019Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Scott Holtzman won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(72.1%)

Actual result: Scott Holtzman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Scott Holtzman at -390 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Scott Holtzman has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Scott Holtzman
Red Corner
VS
Dong Hyun Ma
Blue Corner
-390
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
1443
Elo
1379
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Nik Lentz · Feb 19
W
vs Jim Miller · Feb 20
L
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20
L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21
L
vs Clay Guida · Dec 22
latest
Dong Hyun MaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Brendan O'Reilly · Dec 16
W
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Sep 17
W
vs Damien Brown · Feb 18
L
KOvs Devonte Smith · Feb 19
L
DECvs Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer · Dec 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Scott HoltzmanMetricDong Hyun Ma
4.32
Strikes / min
2.84
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
55%
Strike defense
54%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
1.27
67%
Takedown defense
33%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1535 vs 1499Strikes4.4 vs 2.8Takedowns2.4 vs 1.3Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -0.2
Scott HoltzmanDong Hyun Ma

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Dong Hyun Ma(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +64.2|Blue -64.2
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -8.0|Blue +8.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Scott HoltzmanTargetDong Hyun Ma

By target zone

37
48% acc · 84%
Head
13
24% acc · 81%
2
100% acc · 5%
Body
2
100% acc · 13%
5
38% acc · 11%
Leg
1
50% acc · 6%

By position

33
46% acc · 75%
Distance
15
26% acc · 94%
5
100% acc · 11%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 6%
6
40% acc · 14%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Scott Holtzman rounds
0
even
0
Dong Hyun Ma rounds
Round 1Scott Holtzman edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control3:07
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Scott Holtzman edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns1
Control1:47
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
44 / 92
Sig Strikes
16 / 58
42.5%
Sig Str %
36%
55 / 108
Total Strikes
20 / 62
1 / 2
TDs
1 / 3
50%
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:54
Ctrl Time
0:36

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dong Hyun Ma5 / 107 / 120 / 00
1Scott Holtzman8 / 2512 / 310 / 00
2Dong Hyun Ma11 / 4813 / 501 / 30
2Scott Holtzman36 / 6743 / 771 / 20

Scott Holtzman

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13

Dong Hyun Ma

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8