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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Scott Askham won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1360

Elo1355

Scott AskhamvsAntonio Dos SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · Saturday, June 20, 2015Berlin, Berlin, Germany

Official fight result

Scott Askham won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:52

Style matchupScott Askham: Well-roundedvsAntonio Dos Santos: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Scott Askham wins(74.7%)

Actual result: Scott Askham wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Scott Askham at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Scott Askham is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Antonio Dos Santos has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Antonio Dos Santos has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Scott Askham (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Scott Askham

Red Corner

Antonio Dos Santos

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1360

Elo

1355

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Scott AskhamL2 streak

oldest →

vs Magnus Cedenblad · Oct 14

vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 15

KOvs Chris Dempsey · Feb 16

vs Jack Hermansson · Sep 16

DECvs Bradley Scott · Mar 17

latest

Antonio Dos Santos

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Sarafian · Dec 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Scott AskhamMetricAntonio Dos Santos

3.03

Strikes / min

5.40

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

52%

Strike defense

43%

0.44

TDs / 15 min

0.00

65%

Takedown defense

100%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.49Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap+1.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Scott AskhamAntonio Dos Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Scott Askham(6 fights)Antonio Dos Santos(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.8|Blue -4.8

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Scott AskhamTargetAntonio Dos Santos

By target zone

64% acc · 64%

Head

50% acc · 82%

67% acc · 18%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

88% acc · 64%

Distance

50% acc · 55%

43% acc · 27%

Clinch

56% acc · 45%

100% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Scott Askham rounds

even

Antonio Dos Santos rounds

Round 1Scott Askham edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns2

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 16

Sig Strikes

11 / 21

68%

Sig Str %

52%

12 / 17

Total Strikes

13 / 24

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

1:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Antonio Dos Santos	11 / 21	13 / 24	0 / 1	0
1	Scott Askham	11 / 16	12 / 17	0 / 1	0

Scott Askham

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6

Antonio Dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2