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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Ramiz Brahimaj won · SUB R1

Elo1406

Elo1512

Sasha PalatnikovvsRamiz BrahimajUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Saturday, August 21, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ramiz Brahimaj won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:33

Style matchupSasha Palatnikov: Pressure fightervsRamiz Brahimaj: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Sasha Palatnikov wins(60.6%)

Actual result: Ramiz Brahimaj wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sasha Palatnikov at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ramiz Brahimaj threatens submissions; Sasha Palatnikov has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Sasha Palatnikov has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Sasha Palatnikov (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Sasha Palatnikov

Red Corner

Ramiz Brahimaj

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-165

(62%)

1406

Elo

1512

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sasha Palatnikov

oldest →

KOvs Louis Cosce · Nov 20

SUBvs Impa Kasanganay · Apr 21

latest

Ramiz Brahimaj

oldest →

vs Themba Gorimbo · May 24

KOvs Mickey Gall · Nov 24

SUBvs Billy Ray Goff · May 25

SUBvs Austin Vanderford · Oct 25

vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sasha PalatnikovMetricRamiz Brahimaj

6.69

Strikes / min

2.29

5.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.27

52%

Strike defense

47%

0.72

TDs / 15 min

1.99

70%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sasha PalatnikovRamiz Brahimaj

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sasha Palatnikov(3 fights)Ramiz Brahimaj(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -105.5|Blue +105.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -154.0|Blue +154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sasha PalatnikovTargetRamiz Brahimaj

By target zone

100% acc · 100%

Head

50% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

100% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sasha Palatnikov rounds

even

Ramiz Brahimaj rounds

Round 1Ramiz Brahimaj edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

1Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:12Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 1

Sig Strikes

1 / 2

100%

Sig Str %

50%

1 / 3

Total Strikes

3 / 5

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 2

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

2:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ramiz Brahimaj	1 / 2	3 / 5	2 / 2	1
1	Sasha Palatnikov	1 / 1	1 / 3	0 / 0	0

Sasha Palatnikov

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3

Ramiz Brahimaj

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9