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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Talita Bernardo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1394

Elo1492

Sarah MorasvsTalita BernardoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · Saturday, October 27, 2018Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

Official fight result

Talita Bernardo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Talita Bernardo wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Talita Bernardo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Talita Bernardo at +150 American odds

+$150 profit

$250 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Talita Bernardo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Sarah Moras

Red Corner

Talita Bernardo

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1394

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'4"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sarah MorasL2 streak

oldest →

vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 18

KOvs Macy Chiasson · May 19

KOvs Liana Jojua · Sep 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20

vs Vanessa Melo · Jan 21

latest

Talita BernardoL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marion Reneau · Sep 17

vs Irene Aldana · Jan 18

KOvs Viviane Araujo · May 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sarah MorasMetricTalita Bernardo

2.28

Strikes / min

3.12

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

4.04

50%

Strike defense

55%

0.67

TDs / 15 min

1.62

33%

Takedown defense

28%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.30evenly matched on net striking-0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sarah MorasTalita Bernardo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sarah Moras(9 fights)Talita Bernardo(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -97.2|Blue +97.2

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sarah MorasTargetTalita Bernardo

By target zone

39% acc · 97%

Head

46% acc · 60%

33% acc · 3%

Body

100% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

33% acc · 70%

Distance

54% acc · 82%

50% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

80% acc · 22%

Ground

89% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sarah Moras rounds

even

Talita Bernardo rounds

Round 1Talita Bernardo edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:30

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:27Control

Round 2Talita Bernardo edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:06Control

Round 3Sarah Moras edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:59

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 95

Sig Strikes

60 / 102

43.3%

Sig Str %

63%

78 / 142

Total Strikes

86 / 130

1 / 2

TDs

2 / 6

50%

TD %

41.7%

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

7:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Talita Bernardo	25 / 46	30 / 52	1 / 4	0
1	Sarah Moras	14 / 34	30 / 53	0 / 0	0
2	Talita Bernardo	29 / 48	42 / 62	1 / 1	0
2	Sarah Moras	10 / 41	17 / 49	0 / 0	0
3	Talita Bernardo	6 / 8	14 / 16	0 / 1	1
3	Sarah Moras	13 / 20	31 / 40	1 / 2	0

Sarah Moras

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9

Talita Bernardo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4