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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Lucie Pudilova won · U-DEC R3
Elo1394
Sarah Moras
Elo1491
Lucie Pudilova

Sarah MorasvsLucie PudilovaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · Sunday, February 18, 2018Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Lucie Pudilova won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Sarah Moras wins(51.7%)

Actual result: Lucie Pudilova wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sarah Moras at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Lucie Pudilova enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Lucie Pudilova has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Sarah Moras
Red Corner
VS
Lucie Pudilova
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
1394
Elo
1491
38
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sarah MorasL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Talita Bernardo · Oct 18
L
KOvs Macy Chiasson · May 19
W
KOvs Liana Jojua · Sep 19
L
vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20
L
vs Vanessa Melo · Jan 21
latest
Lucie PudilovaL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Antonina Shevchenko · Aug 19
W
KOvs Wu Yanan · Aug 22
L
vs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 23
L
vs Ailin Perez · Nov 23
L
vs Luana Carolina · Jul 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sarah MorasMetricLucie Pudilova
2.28
Strikes / min
3.60
3.58
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
50%
Strike defense
50%
0.67
TDs / 15 min
0.70
33%
Takedown defense
67%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.30evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes12.0 vs 76.0Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.67 vs 1.00Form0.8 vs 0.1
Sarah MorasLucie Pudilova

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Sarah Moras(9 fights)Lucie Pudilova(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -96.5|Blue +96.5
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -2.4|Blue +2.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sarah MorasTargetLucie Pudilova

By target zone

33
31% acc · 77%
Head
70
55% acc · 93%
8
80% acc · 19%
Body
3
100% acc · 4%
2
67% acc · 5%
Leg
2
67% acc · 3%

By position

12
18% acc · 28%
Distance
48
52% acc · 64%
3
60% acc · 7%
Clinch
5
83% acc · 7%
28
57% acc · 65%
Ground
22
63% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Sarah Moras rounds
0
even
2
Lucie Pudilova rounds
Round 1Sarah Moras edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control3:21
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Lucie Pudilova edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:50Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Lucie Pudilova edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:27
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
2
43 / 121
Sig Strikes
75 / 134
36%
Sig Str %
56.3%
80 / 165
Total Strikes
107 / 171
2 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
44.3%
TD %
—
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
4:48
Ctrl Time
4:52

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Lucie Pudilova23 / 3739 / 550 / 00
1Sarah Moras28 / 5149 / 751 / 11
2Lucie Pudilova19 / 3526 / 450 / 00
2Sarah Moras8 / 2019 / 320 / 11
3Lucie Pudilova33 / 6242 / 710 / 00
3Sarah Moras7 / 5012 / 581 / 30

Sarah Moras

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9

Lucie Pudilova

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights10