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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Sara McMann won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1449

Sara McMannvsLina LansbergUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, January 25, 2020Raleigh, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Sara McMann won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Sara McMann wins(64.3%)

Actual result: Sara McMann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sara McMann at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lina Lansberg enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Sara McMann

Red Corner

Lina Lansberg

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1495

Elo

1449

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sara McMann

oldest →

SUBvs Gina Mazany · Feb 17

SUBvs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 17

SUBvs Marion Reneau · Feb 18

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jan 21

vs Karol Rosa · Mar 22

latest

Lina LansbergL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tonya Evinger · Jun 19

vs Macy Chiasson · Sep 19

vs Pannie Kianzad · Apr 22

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 22

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sara McMannMetricLina Lansberg

2.26

Strikes / min

2.69

1.92

Strikes absorbed / min

3.87

47%

Strike defense

44%

4.38

TDs / 15 min

0.52

50%

Takedown defense

47%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.34Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sara McMannLina Lansberg

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sara McMann(10 fights)Lina Lansberg(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.8|Blue -45.8

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +581.0|Blue -581.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sara McMannTargetLina Lansberg

By target zone

69% acc · 58%

Head

0% acc

88% acc · 39%

Body

100% acc · 100%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

By position

13% acc · 3%

Distance

20% acc · 100%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

88% acc · 95%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sara McMann rounds

even

Lina Lansberg rounds

Round 1Sara McMann edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control4:29

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sara McMann edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control4:11

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sara McMann edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control4:42

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 50

Sig Strikes

1 / 5

75.3%

Sig Str %

16.7%

62 / 84

Total Strikes

36 / 51

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

66.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

13:22

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Lina Lansberg	0 / 2	6 / 8	0 / 0	0
1	Sara McMann	10 / 12	22 / 25	1 / 1	1
2	Lina Lansberg	1 / 2	14 / 22	0 / 0	0
2	Sara McMann	10 / 16	15 / 23	1 / 2	0
3	Lina Lansberg	0 / 1	16 / 21	0 / 0	0
3	Sara McMann	18 / 22	25 / 36	1 / 2	0

Sara McMann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights13

Lina Lansberg

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights11