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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Sara McMann won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1428

Sara McMannvsJessica EyeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · Sunday, May 29, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sara McMann won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSara McMann: WrestlervsJessica Eye: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jessica Eye wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Sara McMann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Eye at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Sara McMann

Red Corner

Jessica Eye

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1495

Elo

1428

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sara McMann

oldest →

SUBvs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 17

SUBvs Marion Reneau · Feb 18

vs Lina Lansberg · Jan 20

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jan 21

vs Karol Rosa · Mar 22

latest

Jessica EyeL4 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sara McMannMetricJessica Eye

2.26

Strikes / min

3.86

1.92

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

47%

Strike defense

55%

4.38

TDs / 15 min

0.58

50%

Takedown defense

57%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.34evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sara McMannJessica Eye

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sara McMann(10 fights)Jessica Eye(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +66.7|Blue -66.7

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -2.9|Blue +2.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sara McMannTargetJessica Eye

By target zone

24% acc · 36%

Head

30% acc · 60%

80% acc · 55%

Body

100% acc · 10%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 30%

By position

10% acc · 14%

Distance

39% acc · 90%

85% acc · 50%

Clinch

89% acc · 36%

Ground

100% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sara McMann rounds

even

Jessica Eye rounds

Round 1Sara McMann edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:41

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sara McMann edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control2:27

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sara McMann edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control3:52

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 51

Sig Strikes

10 / 24

46.3%

Sig Str %

42%

56 / 88

Total Strikes

19 / 34

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

44.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jessica Eye	4 / 9	5 / 10	0 / 0	0
1	Sara McMann	10 / 24	11 / 25	0 / 1	0
2	Jessica Eye	2 / 8	2 / 8	0 / 0	0
2	Sara McMann	7 / 19	19 / 32	1 / 3	0
3	Jessica Eye	4 / 7	12 / 16	0 / 0	0
3	Sara McMann	5 / 8	26 / 31	1 / 1	1

Sara McMann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights13

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15