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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Santiago Ponzinibbio won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1477
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Elo1355

Santiago PonzinibbiovsWendell OliveiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · Saturday, September 13, 2014Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Santiago Ponzinibbio won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:20

Model Prediction: Santiago Ponzinibbio wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Santiago Ponzinibbio wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Santiago Ponzinibbio at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Santiago Ponzinibbio is a KO finisher (58% of wins). Wendell Oliveira has lost 100% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Santiago Ponzinibbio
Red Corner
VS
Wendell Oliveira
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1477
Elo
1355
39
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Santiago PonzinibbioL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23
L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24
W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25
L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25
L
KOvs Sam Patterson · Jul 26
latest
Wendell Oliveira
oldest →
L
KOvs Darren Till · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Santiago PonzinibbioMetricWendell Oliveira
4.78
Strikes / min
—
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
—
61%
Strike defense
—
0.60
TDs / 15 min
—
71%
Takedown defense
—
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1500Strikes25.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Santiago PonzinibbioWendell Oliveira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Wendell Oliveira(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +122.2|Blue -122.2
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Santiago Ponzinibbio

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights21

Wendell Oliveira

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1