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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Li Jingliang won · KO/TKO

Elo1477

Elo1495

Santiago PonzinibbiovsLi JingliangUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · Saturday, January 16, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Li Jingliang won

KO/TKO

Style matchupSantiago Ponzinibbio: Pressure fightervsLi Jingliang: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Santiago Ponzinibbio wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Li Jingliang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Santiago Ponzinibbio at -305 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Li Jingliang is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Santiago Ponzinibbio has lost 56% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Red Corner

Li Jingliang

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1477

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Santiago PonzinibbioL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23

vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24

KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25

KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25

KOvs Sam Patterson · Jul 26

latest

Li JingliangL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Neil Magny · Mar 20

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22

KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Santiago PonzinibbioMetricLi Jingliang

4.78

Strikes / min

4.46

4.68

Strikes absorbed / min

3.95

61%

Strike defense

56%

0.60

TDs / 15 min

1.19

71%

Takedown defense

60%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Santiago PonzinibbioLi Jingliang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Li Jingliang(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.9|Blue +17.9

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +476.0|Blue -476.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Santiago PonzinibbioTargetLi Jingliang

By target zone

50% acc · 64%

Head

20% acc · 29%

Body

50% acc · 14%

100% acc · 36%

Leg

86% acc · 57%

By position

61% acc · 100%

Distance

41% acc · 95%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Santiago Ponzinibbio rounds

even

Li Jingliang rounds

Round 1Li Jingliang edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 18

Sig Strikes

21 / 50

61%

Sig Str %

42%

11 / 18

Total Strikes

21 / 50

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Li Jingliang	21 / 50	21 / 50	0 / 0	0
1	Santiago Ponzinibbio	11 / 18	11 / 18	0 / 0	0

Santiago Ponzinibbio

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights21

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17