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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Sam Stout won · S-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1490

Sam StoutvsCaros FodorUFC Prediction Result

UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · Saturday, February 23, 2013Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Sam Stout won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSam Stout: Pressure fightervsCaros Fodor: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sam Stout wins(60.4%)

Actual result: Sam Stout wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sam Stout at +150 American odds

+$150 profit

$250 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sam Stout has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Caros Fodor has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sam Stout

Red Corner

Caros Fodor

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1355

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sam StoutL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13

vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13

KOvs KJ Noons · Apr 14

KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15

KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15

latest

Caros FodorNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sam StoutMetricCaros Fodor

4.17

Strikes / min

2.76

4.08

Strikes absorbed / min

2.83

57%

Strike defense

54%

0.63

TDs / 15 min

2.10

77%

Takedown defense

50%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sam StoutCaros Fodor

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sam Stout(10 fights)Caros Fodor(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -135.0|Blue +135.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -46.5|Blue +46.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sam StoutTargetCaros Fodor

By target zone

26% acc · 46%

Head

40% acc · 51%

61% acc · 43%

Body

60% acc · 26%

83% acc · 11%

Leg

92% acc · 23%

By position

26% acc · 52%

Distance

47% acc · 68%

86% acc · 39%

Clinch

63% acc · 32%

67% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sam Stout rounds

even

Caros Fodor rounds

Round 1Sam Stout edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control3:29

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control1:30

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 3Caros Fodor edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:40

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:23Control

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 120

Sig Strikes

47 / 92

39.3%

Sig Str %

51%

86 / 164

Total Strikes

80 / 127

1 / 3

TDs

3 / 13

33.3%

TD %

26.7%

Sub Att

Rev

6:39

Ctrl Time

2:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Caros Fodor	12 / 22	30 / 40	1 / 3
1	Sam Stout	15 / 31	36 / 54	1 / 1
2	Caros Fodor	19 / 39	25 / 46	1 / 3
2	Sam Stout	19 / 58	27 / 66	0 / 1
3	Caros Fodor	16 / 31	25 / 41	1 / 7
3	Sam Stout	12 / 31	23 / 44	0 / 1

Sam Stout

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12

Caros Fodor

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights1