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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Maximo Blanco won · U-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1358

Sam SiciliavsMaximo BlancoUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Maximo Blanco won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Sam Sicilia wins(61.6%)

Actual result: Maximo Blanco wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sam Sicilia at +180 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sam Sicilia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Maximo Blanco has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sam Sicilia

Red Corner

Maximo Blanco

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-195

(66%)

1359

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sam SiciliaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15

vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15

KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16

vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17

latest

Maximo BlancoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andy Ogle · May 14

vs Dan Hooker · Sep 14

KOvs Mike de la Torre · Jul 15

SUBvs Luke Sanders · Jan 16

SUBvs Chas Skelly · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sam SiciliaMetricMaximo Blanco

2.46

Strikes / min

4.11

3.55

Strikes absorbed / min

3.19

59%

Strike defense

66%

1.45

TDs / 15 min

1.85

70%

Takedown defense

63%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.09Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sam SiciliaMaximo Blanco

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sam Sicilia(10 fights)Maximo Blanco(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sam SiciliaTargetMaximo Blanco

By target zone

21% acc · 73%

Head

35% acc · 75%

67% acc · 8%

Body

19% acc · 6%

83% acc · 19%

Leg

63% acc · 19%

By position

20% acc · 62%

Distance

33% acc · 83%

60% acc · 35%

Clinch

64% acc · 17%

33% acc · 4%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sam Sicilia rounds

even

Maximo Blanco rounds

Round 1Maximo Blanco edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2Maximo Blanco edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:33

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:00Control

Round 3Maximo Blanco edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:39

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 99

Sig Strikes

52 / 145

25.3%

Sig Str %

35.7%

32 / 107

Total Strikes

86 / 180

1 / 7

TDs

2 / 4

12.5%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:12

Ctrl Time

3:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Maximo Blanco	12 / 50	12 / 50	1 / 1	0
1	Sam Sicilia	6 / 31	6 / 31	0 / 0	1
2	Maximo Blanco	18 / 44	33 / 59	1 / 2	0
2	Sam Sicilia	13 / 37	18 / 44	1 / 4	0
3	Maximo Blanco	22 / 51	41 / 71	0 / 1	1
3	Sam Sicilia	7 / 31	8 / 32	0 / 3	0

Sam Sicilia

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12

Maximo Blanco

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9