Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sai Wang won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1353

Sai WangvsDanny MitchellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Sai Wang won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSai Wang: StrikervsDanny Mitchell: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Sai Wang wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Sai Wang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sai Wang at +175 American odds

+$175 profit

$275 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Danny Mitchell has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Sai Wang (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Sai Wang

Red Corner

Danny Mitchell

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1490

Elo

1353

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sai Wang

oldest →

DECvs Zhang Lipeng · Mar 14

latest

Danny Mitchell

oldest →

vs Igor Araujo · Mar 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sai WangMetricDanny Mitchell

3.17

Strikes / min

2.53

2.27

Strikes absorbed / min

2.53

53%

Strike defense

52%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

77%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

3.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.90evenly matched on net striking0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sai WangDanny Mitchell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sai Wang(2 fights)Danny Mitchell(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.8|Blue -136.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sai WangTargetDanny Mitchell

By target zone

41% acc · 59%

Head

34% acc · 47%

85% acc · 27%

Body

88% acc · 24%

82% acc · 14%

Leg

68% acc · 29%

By position

39% acc · 55%

Distance

44% acc · 83%

82% acc · 28%

Clinch

83% acc · 17%

85% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sai Wang rounds

even

Danny Mitchell rounds

Round 1Sai Wang edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control2:44

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:30Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control1:03

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 3Danny Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 124

Sig Strikes

58 / 120

56.3%

Sig Str %

34.3%

111 / 178

Total Strikes

83 / 147

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 8

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:47

Ctrl Time

3:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Danny Mitchell	0 / 8	3 / 12	0 / 3	0
1	Sai Wang	14 / 20	38 / 48	0 / 0	0
2	Danny Mitchell	24 / 48	33 / 57	0 / 3	1
2	Sai Wang	25 / 42	30 / 48	0 / 1	0
3	Danny Mitchell	34 / 64	47 / 78	0 / 2	0
3	Sai Wang	25 / 62	43 / 82	0 / 1	0

Sai Wang

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Danny Mitchell

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach—

Fights2