Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Miranda Maverick won · SUB R2

Elo1420

Elo1513

Sabina MazovsMiranda MaverickUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, March 12, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Miranda Maverick won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:15

Style matchupSabina Mazo: Pressure fightervsMiranda Maverick: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sabina Mazo wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Miranda Maverick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sabina Mazo at +280 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Miranda Maverick (53.5%).
Sabina Mazo has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sabina Mazo

Red Corner

Miranda Maverick

Blue Corner

+280

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-365

(78%)

1420

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'3"

177.8 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sabina MazoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Shana Dobson · Aug 19

vs JJ Aldrich · Jan 20

SUBvs Justine Kish · Sep 20

vs Alexis Davis · Feb 21

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Oct 21

latest

Miranda Maverick

oldest →

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jul 23

vs Andrea Lee · Feb 24

vs Dione Barbosa · Jul 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sabina MazoMetricMiranda Maverick

6.10

Strikes / min

3.22

4.35

Strikes absorbed / min

2.25

57%

Strike defense

61%

0.65

TDs / 15 min

2.16

59%

Takedown defense

45%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.75evenly matched on net striking+0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sabina MazoMiranda Maverick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sabina Mazo(7 fights)Miranda Maverick(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -93.1|Blue +93.1

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sabina MazoTargetMiranda Maverick

By target zone

22% acc · 53%

Head

28% acc · 53%

25% acc · 7%

Body

33% acc · 11%

86% acc · 40%

Leg

88% acc · 37%

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

37% acc · 84%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

50% acc · 16%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sabina Mazo rounds

even

Miranda Maverick rounds

Round 1Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:46Control

Round 2Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 48

Sig Strikes

19 / 50

30.5%

Sig Str %

38%

24 / 58

Total Strikes

45 / 85

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 7

—

TD %

54%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Miranda Maverick	9 / 21	35 / 56	3 / 4	0
1	Sabina Mazo	5 / 17	14 / 27	0 / 0	0
2	Miranda Maverick	10 / 29	10 / 29	1 / 3	1
2	Sabina Mazo	10 / 31	10 / 31	0 / 0	0

Sabina Mazo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

Miranda Maverick

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13