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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Sabina Mazo won · S-DEC R3

Elo1420

Elo1522

Sabina MazovsJJ AldrichUFC Prediction Result

UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Saturday, January 18, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sabina Mazo won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSabina Mazo: Pressure fightervsJJ Aldrich: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: JJ Aldrich wins(50.0%)

Actual result: Sabina Mazo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JJ Aldrich at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sabina Mazo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Sabina Mazo

Red Corner

JJ Aldrich

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1420

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'5"

177.8 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sabina MazoL3 streak

oldest →

vs Shana Dobson · Aug 19

SUBvs Justine Kish · Sep 20

vs Alexis Davis · Feb 21

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Oct 21

SUBvs Miranda Maverick · Mar 22

latest

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sabina MazoMetricJJ Aldrich

6.10

Strikes / min

3.92

4.35

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

57%

Strike defense

61%

0.65

TDs / 15 min

0.70

59%

Takedown defense

67%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.75Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Sabina MazoJJ Aldrich

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Sabina Mazo(7 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -101.9|Blue +101.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sabina MazoTargetJJ Aldrich

By target zone

26% acc · 56%

Head

36% acc · 78%

85% acc · 25%

Body

77% acc · 17%

74% acc · 19%

Leg

50% acc · 5%

By position

32% acc · 78%

Distance

37% acc · 84%

84% acc · 22%

Clinch

75% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sabina Mazo rounds

even

JJ Aldrich rounds

Round 1Sabina Mazo edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sabina Mazo edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Sabina Mazo edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control2:01

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

118 / 323

Sig Strikes

58 / 144

36.3%

Sig Str %

39.3%

121 / 327

Total Strikes

69 / 156

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:01

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	JJ Aldrich	15 / 47	15 / 47	0 / 0
1	Sabina Mazo	29 / 97	29 / 97	0 / 0
2	JJ Aldrich	26 / 53	31 / 59	0 / 0
2	Sabina Mazo	46 / 133	46 / 133	0 / 0
3	JJ Aldrich	17 / 44	23 / 50	0 / 0
3	Sabina Mazo	43 / 93	46 / 97	0 / 0

Sabina Mazo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16