Skip to content
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Abdul Razak Alhassan won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1364
Sabah Homasi
Elo1491
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Sabah HomasivsAbdul Razak AlhassanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Saturday, December 2, 2017Detroit, Michigan, USA

Official fight result

Abdul Razak Alhassan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:21

Model Prediction: Sabah Homasi wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Abdul Razak Alhassan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sabah Homasi at +225 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Abdul Razak Alhassan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Sabah Homasi has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Sabah Homasi has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Sabah Homasi
Red Corner
VS
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
1364
Elo
1491
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Sabah HomasiL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Tim Means · Aug 16
L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jan 18
latest
Abdul Razak AlhassanL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22
W
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Jan 23
L
SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23
L
KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Sabah HomasiMetricAbdul Razak Alhassan
4.98
Strikes / min
3.64
6.91
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
47%
Strike defense
54%
2.80
TDs / 15 min
0.84
66%
Takedown defense
51%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.93Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap-0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1500Strikes33.0 vs 27.5Takedowns2.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.9 vs -0.2
Sabah HomasiAbdul Razak Alhassan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Sabah Homasi(3 fights)Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -127.6|Blue +127.6
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +281.0|Blue -281.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Sabah HomasiTargetAbdul Razak Alhassan

By target zone

23
55% acc · 59%
Head
22
40% acc · 81%
12
86% acc · 31%
Body
2
100% acc · 7%
4
100% acc · 10%
Leg
3
75% acc · 11%

By position

16
48% acc · 41%
Distance
18
38% acc · 67%
18
82% acc · 46%
Clinch
9
69% acc · 33%
5
100% acc · 13%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Sabah Homasi rounds
0
even
1
Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds
Round 1Abdul Razak Alhassan edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:11
Knockdowns0
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:16Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
39 / 60
Sig Strikes
27 / 61
65%
Sig Str %
44%
41 / 62
Total Strikes
34 / 70
0 / 2
TDs
1 / 3
0%
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:11
Ctrl Time
2:16

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Abdul Razak Alhassan27 / 6134 / 701 / 30
1Sabah Homasi39 / 6041 / 620 / 20

Sabah Homasi

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13