Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bogdan Guskov is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ryan Spann has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Spann threatens submissions; Bogdan Guskov has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan SpannW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25W
KOvs Marcus Buchecha · Apr 26 Bogdan Guskov
oldest →W
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 25D
vs Jan Blachowicz · Dec 25L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan SpannMetricBogdan Guskov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.81Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan SpannBogdan Guskov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Spann(10 fights)Bogdan Guskov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.4|Blue +3.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan SpannTargetBogdan Guskov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ryan Spann edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:29
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bogdan Guskov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
1Knockdowns
