← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Rocco Martin won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1491

Elo1492

Ryan LaFlarevsAnthony Rocco MartinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · Saturday, October 6, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Rocco Martin won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:00

Style matchupRyan LaFlare: WrestlervsAnthony Rocco Martin: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ryan LaFlare wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Anthony Rocco Martin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ryan LaFlare at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Ryan LaFlare (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ryan LaFlare

Red Corner

Anthony Rocco Martin

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1491

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ryan LaFlare

oldest →

vs Demian Maia · Mar 15

vs Mike Pierce · Dec 15

vs Roan Carneiro · Feb 17

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Jul 17

vs Alex Garcia · Apr 18

latest

Anthony Rocco Martin

oldest →

vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Sep 17

vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18

vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19

vs Neil Magny · Jun 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ryan LaFlareMetricAnthony Rocco Martin

2.89

Strikes / min

2.68

1.86

Strikes absorbed / min

2.59

63%

Strike defense

58%

2.13

TDs / 15 min

0.71

58%

Takedown defense

68%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ryan LaFlareAnthony Rocco Martin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ryan LaFlare(10 fights)Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ryan LaFlareTargetAnthony Rocco Martin

By target zone

24% acc · 23%

Head

45% acc · 92%

74% acc · 57%

Body

100% acc · 3%

88% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

48% acc · 89%

Distance

35% acc · 50%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

70% acc · 44%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ryan LaFlare rounds

even

Anthony Rocco Martin rounds

Round 1Ryan LaFlare edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:21

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 2Anthony Rocco Martin edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:16Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Anthony Rocco Martin edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 68

Sig Strikes

36 / 77

51.3%

Sig Str %

55.3%

38 / 72

Total Strikes

38 / 79

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:21

Ctrl Time

3:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anthony Rocco Martin	11 / 40	11 / 40	0 / 0	0
1	Ryan LaFlare	26 / 51	27 / 52	0 / 1	0
2	Anthony Rocco Martin	16 / 25	17 / 26	0 / 0	1
2	Ryan LaFlare	6 / 11	8 / 14	0 / 0	0
3	Anthony Rocco Martin	9 / 12	10 / 13	0 / 0	0
3	Ryan LaFlare	3 / 6	3 / 6	0 / 0	0

Ryan LaFlare

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Anthony Rocco Martin

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13