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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ryan Jimmo won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1355

Elo1359

Ryan JimmovsSean O'ConnellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Wednesday, April 16, 2014Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Ryan Jimmo won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:27

Style matchupRyan Jimmo: StrikervsSean O'Connell: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Ryan Jimmo wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Ryan Jimmo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ryan Jimmo at -660 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ryan Jimmo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ryan Jimmo is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Sean O'Connell has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Sean O'Connell is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ryan Jimmo has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Ryan Jimmo has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ryan Jimmo

Red Corner

Sean O'Connell

Blue Corner

-660

(87%)

Vegas Odds

+540

(16%)

1355

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ryan JimmoL3 streak

oldest →

vs James Te Huna · Feb 13

vs Igor Pokrajac · Jun 13

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Oct 13

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 14

vs Francimar Barroso · May 15

latest

Sean O'ConnellL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Matt Van Buren · Jan 15

KOvs Anthony Perosh · May 15

KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jan 16

vs Steve Bosse · Jun 16

KOvs Corey Anderson · Dec 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ryan JimmoMetricSean O'Connell

3.12

Strikes / min

5.46

2.77

Strikes absorbed / min

6.77

46%

Strike defense

45%

0.45

TDs / 15 min

0.00

87%

Takedown defense

30%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ryan JimmoSean O'Connell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ryan Jimmo(7 fights)Sean O'Connell(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.9|Blue +3.9

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ryan JimmoTargetSean O'Connell

By target zone

55% acc · 60%

Head

46% acc · 40%

80% acc · 40%

Body

82% acc · 60%

Leg

0% acc

By position

44% acc · 35%

Distance

36% acc · 33%

77% acc · 50%

Clinch

91% acc · 67%

100% acc · 15%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ryan Jimmo rounds

even

Sean O'Connell rounds

Round 1Ryan Jimmo edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:37

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:42Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 32

Sig Strikes

15 / 25

62%

Sig Str %

60%

29 / 44

Total Strikes

41 / 56

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:37

Ctrl Time

2:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sean O'Connell	15 / 25	41 / 56	0 / 1	0
1	Ryan Jimmo	20 / 32	29 / 44	1 / 1	0

Ryan Jimmo

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Sean O'Connell

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7