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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ryan Jimmo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1357

Ryan JimmovsIgor PokrajacUFC Prediction Result

UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · Saturday, June 15, 2013Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Official fight result

Ryan Jimmo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ryan Jimmo wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Ryan Jimmo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ryan Jimmo at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Igor Pokrajac enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Igor Pokrajac is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ryan Jimmo has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Ryan Jimmo has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ryan Jimmo

Red Corner

Igor Pokrajac

Blue Corner

-310

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+280

(26%)

1355

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ryan JimmoL2 streak

oldest →

vs James Te Huna · Feb 13

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Oct 13

KOvs Sean O'Connell · Apr 14

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 14

vs Francimar Barroso · May 15

latest

Igor PokrajacL4 streak

oldest →

vs Fabio Maldonado · May 12

SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12

KOvs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13

KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14

vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ryan JimmoMetricIgor Pokrajac

3.12

Strikes / min

2.25

2.77

Strikes absorbed / min

4.26

46%

Strike defense

40%

0.45

TDs / 15 min

0.87

87%

Takedown defense

51%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap-2.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ryan JimmoIgor Pokrajac

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ryan Jimmo(7 fights)Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -147.0|Blue +147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ryan JimmoTargetIgor Pokrajac

By target zone

59% acc · 40%

Head

22% acc · 67%

100% acc · 23%

Body

100% acc · 25%

100% acc · 37%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

61% acc · 34%

Distance

20% acc · 58%

100% acc · 45%

Clinch

100% acc · 42%

78% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ryan Jimmo rounds

even

Igor Pokrajac rounds

Round 1Ryan Jimmo edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control1:49

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Round 2Ryan Jimmo edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control4:35

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Ryan Jimmo edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control4:18

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 83

Sig Strikes

12 / 40

79.3%

Sig Str %

31.7%

124 / 150

Total Strikes

37 / 65

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 4

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

10:42

Ctrl Time

0:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Igor Pokrajac	7 / 27	11 / 31	0 / 3	0
1	Ryan Jimmo	36 / 47	43 / 54	0 / 1	0
2	Igor Pokrajac	1 / 5	15 / 19	0 / 0	0
2	Ryan Jimmo	15 / 20	44 / 52	1 / 1	0
3	Igor Pokrajac	4 / 8	11 / 15	0 / 1	1
3	Ryan Jimmo	14 / 16	37 / 44	0 / 0	0

Ryan Jimmo

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Igor Pokrajac

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10