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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ross Pearson won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1352
Ryan Couture
Elo1372

Ryan CouturevsRoss PearsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · Saturday, April 6, 2013Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Ross Pearson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:45

Style matchupRyan Couture: Submission grapplervsRoss Pearson: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(60.3%)

Actual result: Ross Pearson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ross Pearson at -340 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ross Pearson has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Ryan Couture has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ryan Couture
Red Corner
VS
Ross Pearson
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
1352
Elo
1372
43
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ryan Couture
oldest →
L
vs Al Iaquinta · Aug 13
latest
Ross PearsonL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16
L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17
W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18
L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18
L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ryan CoutureMetricRoss Pearson
3.54
Strikes / min
3.68
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
54%
Strike defense
62%
1.55
TDs / 15 min
0.74
46%
Takedown defense
75%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap-0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1518Strikes— vs 52.4Takedowns— vs 0.9Sub Atts— vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.3
Ryan CoutureRoss Pearson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Ryan Couture(2 fights)Ross Pearson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -19.4|Blue +19.4
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +46.4|Blue -46.4
Grappler Score
Red +49.9|Blue -49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ryan CoutureTargetRoss Pearson

By target zone

7
18% acc · 24%
Head
22
63% acc · 79%
12
67% acc · 41%
Body
6
100% acc · 21%
10
48% acc · 34%
Leg
0

By position

15
28% acc · 52%
Distance
22
69% acc · 79%
14
61% acc · 48%
Clinch
3
100% acc · 11%
0
Ground
3
50% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ryan Couture rounds
0
even
1
Ross Pearson rounds
Round 1Ryan Couture edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:36
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ross Pearson edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:32
Knockdowns0
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:11Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
29 / 77
Sig Strikes
28 / 41
38%
Sig Str %
70.5%
35 / 83
Total Strikes
48 / 62
1 / 7
TDs
1 / 1
10%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:08
Ctrl Time
0:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ross Pearson6 / 820 / 230 / 00
1Ryan Couture17 / 3620 / 391 / 50
2Ross Pearson22 / 3328 / 391 / 10
2Ryan Couture12 / 4115 / 440 / 20

Ryan Couture

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights23