Flyweight

3 Rounds

Zarrukh Adashev won · U-DEC R3

Elo1405

Elo1494

Ryan BenoitvsZarrukh AdashevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · Saturday, July 31, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Zarrukh Adashev won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRyan Benoit: Well-roundedvsZarrukh Adashev: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Ryan Benoit wins(53.3%)

Actual result: Zarrukh Adashev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ryan Benoit at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Zarrukh Adashev enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ryan Benoit is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Zarrukh Adashev has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Zarrukh Adashev has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Zarrukh Adashev (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ryan Benoit

Red Corner

Zarrukh Adashev

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1405

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'5"

172.72 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ryan BenoitL2 streak

oldest →

vs Fredy Serrano · Jul 16

vs Brandon Moreno · Dec 16

KOvs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Nov 17

vs Heili Alateng · Dec 19

vs Tim Elliott · Jul 20

latest

Zarrukh AdashevL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tyson Nam · Jun 20

vs Su Mudaerji · Jan 21

KOvs Ode Osbourne · Jun 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ryan BenoitMetricZarrukh Adashev

2.88

Strikes / min

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.04

58%

Strike defense

64%

0.28

TDs / 15 min

0.00

72%

Takedown defense

100%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.77Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ryan BenoitZarrukh Adashev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ryan Benoit(9 fights)Zarrukh Adashev(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -89.3|Blue +89.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +189.0|Blue -189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ryan BenoitTargetZarrukh Adashev

By target zone

27% acc · 86%

Head

46% acc · 64%

25% acc · 5%

Body

71% acc · 15%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

89% acc · 21%

By position

26% acc · 89%

Distance

54% acc · 95%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

100% acc · 11%

Ground

50% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ryan Benoit rounds

even

Zarrukh Adashev rounds

Round 1Zarrukh Adashev edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:38

Knockdowns1

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Zarrukh Adashev edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:01

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 3Zarrukh Adashev edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:40

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 129

Sig Strikes

78 / 143

29%

Sig Str %

54%

55 / 151

Total Strikes

81 / 146

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 4

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Zarrukh Adashev	26 / 47	26 / 47	0 / 2	1
1	Ryan Benoit	14 / 36	20 / 42	0 / 0	0
2	Zarrukh Adashev	25 / 44	26 / 45	0 / 1	0
2	Ryan Benoit	9 / 37	12 / 40	0 / 0	0
3	Zarrukh Adashev	27 / 52	29 / 54	0 / 1	0
3	Ryan Benoit	14 / 56	23 / 69	0 / 1	0

Ryan Benoit

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights9

Zarrukh Adashev

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4