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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Rustam Khabilov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1496

Rustam KhabilovvsSergey KhandozhkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · Saturday, November 9, 2019Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Rustam Khabilov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRustam Khabilov: WrestlervsSergey Khandozhko: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Rustam Khabilov wins(75.7%)

Actual result: Rustam Khabilov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rustam Khabilov at -245 American odds

+$41 profit

$141 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Rustam Khabilov

Red Corner

Sergey Khandozhko

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+205

(33%)

1492

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rustam Khabilov

oldest →

vs Leandro Silva · Sep 16

vs Jason Saggo · Dec 16

vs Desmond Green · Sep 17

vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18

vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19

latest

Sergey KhandozhkoW2 streak

oldest →

vs Rostem Akman · Jun 19

KOvs Dwight Grant · Apr 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rustam KhabilovMetricSergey Khandozhko

1.98

Strikes / min

3.41

2.16

Strikes absorbed / min

2.37

65%

Strike defense

60%

3.95

TDs / 15 min

0.76

61%

Takedown defense

61%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rustam KhabilovSergey Khandozhko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)Sergey Khandozhko(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.8|Blue +3.8

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rustam KhabilovTargetSergey Khandozhko

By target zone

29% acc · 50%

Head

36% acc · 48%

75% acc · 25%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 25%

Leg

87% acc · 52%

By position

35% acc · 67%

Distance

47% acc · 92%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

80% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rustam Khabilov rounds

even

Sergey Khandozhko rounds

Round 1Sergey Khandozhko edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control2:30

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rustam Khabilov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control4:03

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Rustam Khabilov edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control4:03

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 28

Sig Strikes

25 / 51

42%

Sig Str %

47%

56 / 79

Total Strikes

188 / 219

4 / 12

TDs

0 / 0

46.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:36

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sergey Khandozhko	15 / 28	17 / 30	0 / 0
1	Rustam Khabilov	5 / 13	5 / 13	0 / 5
2	Sergey Khandozhko	5 / 13	41 / 50	0 / 0
2	Rustam Khabilov	5 / 9	25 / 29	2 / 5
3	Sergey Khandozhko	5 / 10	130 / 139	0 / 0
3	Rustam Khabilov	2 / 6	26 / 37	2 / 2

Rustam Khabilov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13

Sergey Khandozhko

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3