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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rustam Khabilov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Rustam KhabilovvsDesmond GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · Saturday, September 2, 2017Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Rustam Khabilov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRustam Khabilov: WrestlervsDesmond Green: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Rustam Khabilov wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Rustam Khabilov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rustam Khabilov at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Desmond Green (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Rustam Khabilov

Red Corner

Desmond Green

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1492

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rustam Khabilov

oldest →

vs Leandro Silva · Sep 16

vs Jason Saggo · Dec 16

vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18

vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19

vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19

latest

Desmond GreenW2 streak

oldest →

vs Michel Prazeres · Feb 18

vs Gleison Tibau · Jun 18

vs Mairbek Taisumov · Sep 18

KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 19

vs Charles Jourdain · May 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rustam KhabilovMetricDesmond Green

1.98

Strikes / min

3.70

2.16

Strikes absorbed / min

2.51

65%

Strike defense

69%

3.95

TDs / 15 min

1.62

61%

Takedown defense

75%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rustam KhabilovDesmond Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)Desmond Green(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +119.0|Blue -119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rustam KhabilovTargetDesmond Green

By target zone

24% acc · 65%

Head

28% acc · 47%

55% acc · 18%

Body

58% acc · 15%

86% acc · 18%

Leg

95% acc · 38%

By position

31% acc · 91%

Distance

41% acc · 83%

33% acc · 9%

Clinch

53% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rustam Khabilov rounds

even

Desmond Green rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns3

Control0:59

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Desmond Green edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Desmond Green edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:05

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:12Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 108

Sig Strikes

47 / 111

31.7%

Sig Str %

43%

35 / 109

Total Strikes

53 / 119

3 / 11

TDs

1 / 2

25%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:04

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Desmond Green	17 / 30	20 / 35	0 / 1
1	Rustam Khabilov	8 / 25	9 / 26	3 / 4
2	Desmond Green	17 / 40	17 / 40	0 / 0
2	Rustam Khabilov	13 / 36	13 / 36	0 / 4
3	Desmond Green	13 / 41	16 / 44	1 / 1
3	Rustam Khabilov	13 / 47	13 / 47	0 / 3

Rustam Khabilov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13

Desmond Green

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7