Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jerrod Sanders won · U-DEC R3
Elo1491
Russell Doane
Elo1491
Jerrod Sanders

Russell DoanevsJerrod SandersUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · Sunday, July 12, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jerrod Sanders won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRussell Doane: WrestlervsJerrod Sanders: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Russell Doane wins(75.6%)

Actual result: Jerrod Sanders wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Russell Doane at -470 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Russell Doane
Red Corner
VS
Jerrod Sanders
Blue Corner
-470
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
1491
Elo
1491
39
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Russell Doane
oldest →
L
vs Iuri Alcantara · Sep 14
L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16
W
KOvs Kwan Ho Kwak · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Feb 18
latest
Jerrod SandersL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Yosdenis Cedeno · Jul 14
L
SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Jul 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Russell DoaneMetricJerrod Sanders
1.75
Strikes / min
0.88
1.68
Strikes absorbed / min
1.14
53%
Strike defense
46%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
2.20
52%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1481Strikes27.0 vs 1.5Takedowns3.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.33 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs -1.0
Russell DoaneJerrod Sanders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Russell Doane(8 fights)Jerrod Sanders(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -59.0|Blue +59.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Russell DoaneTargetJerrod Sanders

By target zone

10
48% acc · 77%
Head
10
63% acc · 67%
3
60% acc · 23%
Body
5
100% acc · 33%
0
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

3
23% acc · 23%
Distance
5
45% acc · 33%
6
67% acc · 46%
Clinch
4
80% acc · 27%
4
100% acc · 31%
Ground
6
100% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Russell Doane rounds
3
even
0
Jerrod Sanders rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control2:26
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:48Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:36
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control2:19
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:52Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
13 / 26
Sig Strikes
15 / 22
39.7%
Sig Str %
79%
34 / 51
Total Strikes
47 / 57
1 / 2
TDs
3 / 8
50%
TD %
44.3%
3
Sub Att
3
2
Rev
1
6:21
Ctrl Time
6:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jerrod Sanders3 / 49 / 100 / 11
1Russell Doane0 / 55 / 101 / 20
2Jerrod Sanders2 / 215 / 172 / 62
2Russell Doane9 / 1317 / 250 / 01
3Jerrod Sanders10 / 1623 / 301 / 10
3Russell Doane4 / 812 / 160 / 02

Russell Doane

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8

Jerrod Sanders

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3