Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Hamilton won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1354

Elo1363

Ruan PottsvsAnthony HamiltonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · Saturday, August 30, 2014Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Hamilton won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:17

Model Prediction: Anthony Hamilton wins(58.7%)

Actual result: Anthony Hamilton wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Hamilton at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Hamilton enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Anthony Hamilton is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Ruan Potts has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Anthony Hamilton has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Anthony Hamilton has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ruan Potts

Red Corner

Anthony Hamilton

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1354

Elo

1363

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'5"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ruan PottsL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Soa Palelei · May 14

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 15

latest

Anthony HamiltonL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Damian Grabowski · Jul 16

SUBvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 16

KOvs Marcel Fortuna · Feb 17

KOvs Daniel Spitz · Sep 17

vs Adam Wieczorek · Nov 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ruan PottsMetricAnthony Hamilton

0.85

Strikes / min

3.91

5.92

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

22%

Strike defense

45%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

2.62

33%

Takedown defense

78%

2.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-5.07Δ 5.96 — meaningful gap+0.89

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ruan PottsAnthony Hamilton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ruan Potts(3 fights)Anthony Hamilton(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.4|Blue +8.4

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ruan PottsTargetAnthony Hamilton

By target zone

30% acc · 70%

Head

40% acc · 3%

50% acc · 10%

Body

100% acc · 88%

50% acc · 20%

Leg

83% acc · 8%

By position

30% acc · 80%

Distance

67% acc · 7%

100% acc · 20%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

Ground

96% acc · 85%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ruan Potts rounds

even

Anthony Hamilton rounds

Round 1Anthony Hamilton edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:01

9Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:26Control

Round 2Anthony Hamilton edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

51Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 29

Sig Strikes

60 / 64

36.5%

Sig Str %

86.5%

24 / 45

Total Strikes

82 / 87

0 / 3

TDs

5 / 6

TD %

87.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

5:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anthony Hamilton	9 / 12	19 / 22	3 / 4
1	Ruan Potts	7 / 22	17 / 34	0 / 2
2	Anthony Hamilton	51 / 52	63 / 65	2 / 2
2	Ruan Potts	3 / 7	7 / 11	0 / 1

Ruan Potts

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights3

Anthony Hamilton

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights10