Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sergey Khandozhko won · U-DEC R3

Elo1377

Elo1496

Rostem AkmanvsSergey KhandozhkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Sergey Khandozhko won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Sergey Khandozhko wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Sergey Khandozhko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sergey Khandozhko at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rostem Akman has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Rostem Akman (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Rostem Akman

Red Corner

Sergey Khandozhko

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1377

Elo

1496

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'1"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rostem Akman

oldest →

vs Jake Matthews · Oct 19

latest

Sergey Khandozhko

oldest →

vs Rustam Khabilov · Nov 19

KOvs Dwight Grant · Apr 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rostem AkmanMetricSergey Khandozhko

1.80

Strikes / min

3.41

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

2.37

57%

Strike defense

60%

1.00

TDs / 15 min

0.76

87%

Takedown defense

61%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.17Δ 3.21 — meaningful gap+1.04

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rostem Akman(2 fights)Sergey Khandozhko(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -119.1|Blue +119.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rostem AkmanTargetSergey Khandozhko

By target zone

33% acc · 77%

Head

30% acc · 50%

100% acc · 15%

Body

41% acc · 18%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

86% acc · 32%

By position

34% acc · 79%

Distance

39% acc · 92%

89% acc · 21%

Clinch

63% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rostem Akman rounds

even

Sergey Khandozhko rounds

Round 1Sergey Khandozhko edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:29

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Sergey Khandozhko edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control1:13

Knockdowns0

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control1:37

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 100

Sig Strikes

60 / 149

38.7%

Sig Str %

39.7%

40 / 103

Total Strikes

60 / 151

2 / 5

TDs

1 / 6

33%

TD %

8.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:19

Ctrl Time

1:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sergey Khandozhko	23 / 57	23 / 57	0 / 1
1	Rostem Akman	16 / 38	16 / 38	0 / 0
2	Sergey Khandozhko	22 / 54	22 / 56	0 / 1
2	Rostem Akman	13 / 36	13 / 38	0 / 2
3	Sergey Khandozhko	15 / 38	15 / 38	1 / 4
3	Rostem Akman	10 / 26	11 / 27	2 / 3

Rostem Akman

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2

Sergey Khandozhko

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3