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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Will Brooks won · U-DEC R3
Elo1372
Elo1363
Will Brooks

Ross PearsonvsWill BrooksUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · Friday, July 8, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Will Brooks won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsWill Brooks: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(66.1%)

Actual result: Will Brooks wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ross Pearson at +305 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Will Brooks enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Ross Pearson
Red Corner
VS
Will Brooks
Blue Corner
+305
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-365
(78%)
1372
Elo
1363
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ross PearsonL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16
L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17
W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18
L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18
L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19
latest
Will BrooksL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Oct 16
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Apr 17
L
SUBvs Nik Lentz · Nov 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ross PearsonMetricWill Brooks
3.68
Strikes / min
4.26
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
62%
Strike defense
56%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
2.08
75%
Takedown defense
82%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap+1.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1534 vs 1500Strikes41.2 vs Takedowns0.7 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form0.2 vs 0.0
Ross PearsonWill Brooks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Will Brooks(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +9.1|Blue -9.1
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -46.9|Blue +46.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ross PearsonTargetWill Brooks

By target zone

15
23% acc · 28%
Head
36
36% acc · 45%
29
74% acc · 54%
Body
32
84% acc · 40%
10
91% acc · 19%
Leg
12
92% acc · 15%

By position

31
36% acc · 57%
Distance
43
41% acc · 54%
23
85% acc · 43%
Clinch
32
84% acc · 40%
0
0% acc
Ground
5
83% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ross Pearson rounds
0
even
2
Will Brooks rounds
Round 1Will Brooks edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:21
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:35Control
Round 2Will Brooks edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:50
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:07Control
Round 3Ross Pearson edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:56
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
54 / 115
Sig Strikes
80 / 150
42.7%
Sig Str %
53%
76 / 140
Total Strikes
116 / 190
0 / 2
TDs
1 / 6
0%
TD %
33.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:07
Ctrl Time
4:34

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Will Brooks19 / 4124 / 480 / 20
1Ross Pearson10 / 2415 / 290 / 10
2Will Brooks33 / 5053 / 721 / 10
2Ross Pearson9 / 2916 / 380 / 10
3Will Brooks28 / 5939 / 700 / 30
3Ross Pearson35 / 6245 / 730 / 00

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights23

Will Brooks

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4