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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ross Pearson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1372

Elo1355

Ross PearsonvsSam StoutUFC Prediction Result

UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · Saturday, March 14, 2015Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Ross Pearson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:33

Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsSam Stout: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Ross Pearson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ross Pearson at -370 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ross Pearson

Red Corner

Sam Stout

Blue Corner

-370

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+330

(23%)

1372

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Sam StoutL2 streak

oldest →

vs Caros Fodor · Feb 13

SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13

vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13

KOvs KJ Noons · Apr 14

KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ross PearsonMetricSam Stout

3.68

Strikes / min

4.17

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.08

62%

Strike defense

57%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

0.63

75%

Takedown defense

77%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ross PearsonSam Stout

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ross Pearson(10 fights)Sam Stout(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.6|Blue -16.6

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -205.0|Blue +205.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ross PearsonTargetSam Stout

By target zone

27% acc · 64%

Head

13% acc · 52%

45% acc · 20%

Body

50% acc · 35%

80% acc · 16%

Leg

75% acc · 13%

By position

32% acc · 92%

Distance

20% acc · 96%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

100% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ross Pearson rounds

even

Sam Stout rounds

Round 1Sam Stout edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 75

Sig Strikes

23 / 111

41.5%

Sig Str %

19%

25 / 75

Total Strikes

23 / 111

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sam Stout	18 / 82	18 / 82	0 / 1
1	Ross Pearson	15 / 58	15 / 58	0 / 0
2	Sam Stout	5 / 29	5 / 29	0 / 0
2	Ross Pearson	10 / 17	10 / 17	0 / 0

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23

Sam Stout

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12