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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Edson Barboza won · S-DEC R3

Elo1372

Elo1480

Ross PearsonvsEdson BarbozaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · Saturday, August 27, 2011Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Edson Barboza won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsEdson Barboza: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Edson Barboza wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ross Pearson at +248 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Edson Barboza has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ross Pearson

Red Corner

Edson Barboza

Blue Corner

+248

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-270

(73%)

1372

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

175.26 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Edson BarbozaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23

vs Lerone Murphy · May 24

vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25

KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ross PearsonMetricEdson Barboza

3.68

Strikes / min

4.14

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.68

62%

Strike defense

55%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

0.43

75%

Takedown defense

73%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ross PearsonEdson Barboza

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ross Pearson(10 fights)Edson Barboza(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -108.0|Blue +108.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ross PearsonTargetEdson Barboza

By target zone

28% acc · 78%

Head

19% acc · 53%

54% acc · 12%

Body

79% acc · 40%

86% acc · 10%

Leg

33% acc · 7%

By position

32% acc · 98%

Distance

27% acc · 89%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

75% acc · 11%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ross Pearson rounds

even

Edson Barboza rounds

Round 1Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:19

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Edson Barboza edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns0

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:18

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 186

Sig Strikes

55 / 190

31.7%

Sig Str %

28.7%

62 / 188

Total Strikes

55 / 190

0 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Edson Barboza	17 / 68	17 / 68	0 / 0
1	Ross Pearson	21 / 67	22 / 68	0 / 2
2	Edson Barboza	22 / 68	22 / 68	0 / 0
2	Ross Pearson	19 / 60	19 / 60	0 / 2
3	Edson Barboza	16 / 54	16 / 54	0 / 1
3	Ross Pearson	20 / 59	21 / 60	0 / 2

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23

Edson Barboza

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights32