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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ross Pearson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1372

Elo1491

Ross PearsonvsDennis SiverUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · Wednesday, March 31, 2010Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Ross Pearson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsDennis Siver: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(65.7%)

Actual result: Ross Pearson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ross Pearson at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ross Pearson

Red Corner

Dennis Siver

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1372

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Dennis Siver

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13

vs Charles Rosa · Oct 14

KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 15

vs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jun 15

vs BJ Penn · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ross PearsonMetricDennis Siver

3.68

Strikes / min

3.87

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

62%

Strike defense

65%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

0.87

75%

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+1.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ross PearsonDennis Siver

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ross Pearson(10 fights)Dennis Siver(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -119.0|Blue +119.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ross PearsonTargetDennis Siver

By target zone

27% acc · 67%

Head

14% acc · 72%

67% acc · 7%

Body

63% acc · 13%

74% acc · 26%

Leg

46% acc · 15%

By position

32% acc · 91%

Distance

17% acc · 90%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

23% acc · 8%

50% acc · 4%

Ground

33% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ross Pearson rounds

even

Dennis Siver rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:41

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:08

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 3Ross Pearson edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:11

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 159

Sig Strikes

39 / 225

33.7%

Sig Str %

17%

64 / 170

Total Strikes

39 / 228

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 5

100%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:00

Ctrl Time

1:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dennis Siver	17 / 76	17 / 76	0 / 1
1	Ross Pearson	17 / 54	22 / 60	0 / 0
2	Dennis Siver	10 / 66	10 / 66	1 / 2
2	Ross Pearson	16 / 47	17 / 48	0 / 0
3	Dennis Siver	12 / 83	12 / 86	1 / 2
3	Ross Pearson	21 / 58	25 / 62	1 / 1

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23

Dennis Siver

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13