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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ross Pearson won · S-DEC R3

Elo1372

Elo1369

Ross PearsonvsChad LapriseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · Saturday, March 19, 2016Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Ross Pearson won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsChad Laprise: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Chad Laprise wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Ross Pearson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chad Laprise at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ross Pearson

Red Corner

Chad Laprise

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1372

Elo

1369

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Chad LapriseL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thibault Gouti · Aug 16

KOvs Brian Camozzi · Jul 17

KOvs Galore Bofando · Dec 17

KOvs Vicente Luque · May 18

KOvs Dhiego Lima · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ross PearsonMetricChad Laprise

3.68

Strikes / min

4.78

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

3.59

62%

Strike defense

65%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

1.05

75%

Takedown defense

78%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap+1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ross PearsonChad Laprise

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ross Pearson(10 fights)Chad Laprise(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.5|Blue -2.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -147.0|Blue +147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ross PearsonTargetChad Laprise

By target zone

19% acc · 40%

Head

32% acc · 81%

45% acc · 19%

Body

64% acc · 12%

84% acc · 40%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

37% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ross Pearson rounds

even

Chad Laprise rounds

Round 1Chad Laprise edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Chad Laprise edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Chad Laprise edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 155

Sig Strikes

78 / 214

32.7%

Sig Str %

35.3%

52 / 156

Total Strikes

78 / 214

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chad Laprise	18 / 55	18 / 55	0 / 0
1	Ross Pearson	13 / 45	13 / 45	0 / 0
2	Chad Laprise	29 / 81	29 / 81	0 / 0
2	Ross Pearson	21 / 58	21 / 58	0 / 0
3	Chad Laprise	31 / 78	31 / 78	0 / 0
3	Ross Pearson	18 / 52	18 / 53	0 / 1

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23

Chad Laprise

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10