Lightweight

3 Rounds

Al Iaquinta won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1372

Elo1411

Ross PearsonvsAl IaquintaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · Friday, November 7, 2014Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Al Iaquinta won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:39

Style matchupRoss Pearson: Well-roundedvsAl Iaquinta: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Al Iaquinta wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Al Iaquinta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Al Iaquinta at +120 American odds

+$120 profit

$220 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Al Iaquinta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Ross Pearson

Red Corner

Al Iaquinta

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1372

Elo

1411

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Al IaquintaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 18

vs Kevin Lee · Dec 18

vs Donald Cerrone · May 19

vs Dan Hooker · Oct 19

KOvs Bobby Green · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ross PearsonMetricAl Iaquinta

3.68

Strikes / min

4.06

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.53

62%

Strike defense

61%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

0.63

75%

Takedown defense

74%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ross PearsonAl Iaquinta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ross Pearson(10 fights)Al Iaquinta(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.3|Blue +39.3

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +20.0|Blue -20.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ross PearsonTargetAl Iaquinta

By target zone

27% acc · 65%

Head

31% acc · 81%

50% acc · 15%

Body

33% acc · 10%

80% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

31% acc · 84%

Clinch

50% acc · 10%

Ground

67% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ross Pearson rounds

even

Al Iaquinta rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Al Iaquinta edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 60

Sig Strikes

31 / 93

36%

Sig Str %

34.5%

21 / 61

Total Strikes

32 / 94

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Al Iaquinta	14 / 55	14 / 55	0 / 1
1	Ross Pearson	13 / 44	14 / 45	0 / 1
2	Al Iaquinta	17 / 38	18 / 39	0 / 0
2	Ross Pearson	7 / 16	7 / 16	0 / 0

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23

Al Iaquinta

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15