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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jessica Andrade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1484

Rosi SextonvsJessica AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · Saturday, October 26, 2013Manchester, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRosi Sexton: Well-roundedvsJessica Andrade: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Rosi Sexton wins(53.7%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rosi Sexton at +110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jessica Andrade has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Rosi Sexton

Red Corner

Jessica Andrade

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1353

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'1"

160.02 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rosi Sexton

oldest →

vs Alexis Davis · Jun 13

latest

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rosi SextonMetricJessica Andrade

3.31

Strikes / min

6.37

7.42

Strikes absorbed / min

5.58

41%

Strike defense

54%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

2.10

80%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-4.11Δ 4.90 — meaningful gap+0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rosi SextonJessica Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rosi Sexton(2 fights)Jessica Andrade(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -131.0|Blue +131.0

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rosi SextonTargetJessica Andrade

By target zone

30% acc · 73%

Head

179

57% acc · 87%

83% acc · 6%

Body

88% acc · 10%

79% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

35% acc · 97%

Distance

196

59% acc · 95%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 0%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rosi Sexton rounds

even

Jessica Andrade rounds

Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:10

42Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:04Control

Round 2Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control0:16

91Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:08

73Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

88 / 245

Sig Strikes

206 / 344

35.3%

Sig Str %

58%

111 / 272

Total Strikes

215 / 356

1 / 8

TDs

1 / 2

11%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:34

Ctrl Time

1:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jessica Andrade	42 / 93	51 / 104	1 / 2
1	Rosi Sexton	22 / 59	35 / 75	0 / 2
2	Jessica Andrade	91 / 138	91 / 139	0 / 0
2	Rosi Sexton	24 / 84	25 / 85	1 / 3
3	Jessica Andrade	73 / 113	73 / 113	0 / 0
3	Rosi Sexton	42 / 102	51 / 112	0 / 3

Rosi Sexton

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30