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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Rose Namajunas won · SUB R1

Elo1499

Elo1506

Rose NamajunasvsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · Saturday, October 3, 2015Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Rose Namajunas won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:47

Style matchupRose Namajunas: Well-roundedvsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Angela Hill wins(59.5%)

Actual result: Rose Namajunas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Angela Hill at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Rose Namajunas

Red Corner

Angela Hill

Blue Corner

-265

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1499

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'3"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rose Namajunas

oldest →

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24

vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24

vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25

vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26

latest

Angela Hill

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rose NamajunasMetricAngela Hill

3.50

Strikes / min

5.37

3.38

Strikes absorbed / min

5.02

63%

Strike defense

60%

1.47

TDs / 15 min

0.75

62%

Takedown defense

72%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.12evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rose NamajunasAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.9|Blue +6.9

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -3.5|Blue +3.5

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +183.0|Blue -183.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rose NamajunasTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

38% acc · 92%

Head

44% acc · 67%

100% acc · 8%

Body

100% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

38% acc · 85%

Distance

47% acc · 75%

50% acc · 15%

Clinch

100% acc · 25%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rose Namajunas rounds

even

Angela Hill rounds

Round 1Rose Namajunas edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:12

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 33

Sig Strikes

12 / 22

39%

Sig Str %

54%

14 / 36

Total Strikes

16 / 26

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:12

Ctrl Time

0:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Angela Hill	12 / 22	16 / 26	0 / 0	0
1	Rose Namajunas	13 / 33	14 / 36	1 / 1	1

Rose Namajunas

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights19

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30