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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ignacio Bahamondes won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1489

Elo1502

Roosevelt RobertsvsIgnacio BahamondesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Saturday, August 21, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ignacio Bahamondes won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:55

Model Prediction: Ignacio Bahamondes wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Ignacio Bahamondes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ignacio Bahamondes at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Ignacio Bahamondes has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Roosevelt Roberts

Red Corner

Ignacio Bahamondes

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1489

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roosevelt RobertsL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brok Weaver · May 20

SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20

vs Kevin Croom · Sep 20

SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23

vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24

latest

Ignacio BahamondesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 24

KOvs Manuel Torres · Sep 24

SUBvs Jalin Turner · Mar 25

vs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 25

vs Tofiq Musayev · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roosevelt RobertsMetricIgnacio Bahamondes

2.84

Strikes / min

5.99

3.10

Strikes absorbed / min

4.07

52%

Strike defense

55%

1.18

TDs / 15 min

0.00

50%

Takedown defense

70%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26Δ 2.18 — meaningful gap+1.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Roosevelt RobertsIgnacio Bahamondes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)Ignacio Bahamondes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.5|Blue +12.5

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +210.0|Blue -210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roosevelt RobertsTargetIgnacio Bahamondes

By target zone

31% acc · 85%

Head

28% acc · 39%

40% acc · 4%

Body

72% acc · 30%

67% acc · 11%

Leg

83% acc · 31%

By position

33% acc · 98%

Distance

45% acc · 92%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

67% acc · 6%

Ground

67% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Roosevelt Roberts rounds

even

Ignacio Bahamondes rounds

Round 1Ignacio Bahamondes edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control1:11

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Ignacio Bahamondes edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:33

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ignacio Bahamondes edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:38Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 168

Sig Strikes

105 / 228

32%

Sig Str %

45.7%

65 / 185

Total Strikes

124 / 260

0 / 12

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:44

Ctrl Time

1:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ignacio Bahamondes	33 / 70	37 / 77	0 / 0
1	Roosevelt Roberts	24 / 63	24 / 63	0 / 6
2	Ignacio Bahamondes	38 / 87	43 / 92	0 / 0
2	Roosevelt Roberts	18 / 57	20 / 59	0 / 1
3	Ignacio Bahamondes	34 / 71	44 / 91	0 / 0
3	Roosevelt Roberts	13 / 48	21 / 63	0 / 5

Roosevelt Roberts

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights10

Ignacio Bahamondes

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10