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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Yoel Romero won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1353

Elo1382

Ronny MarkesvsYoel RomeroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Wednesday, November 6, 2013Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Yoel Romero won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:39

Style matchupRonny Markes: WrestlervsYoel Romero: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ronny Markes wins(81.5%)

Actual result: Yoel Romero wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ronny Markes at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Ronny Markes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Yoel Romero has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ronny Markes has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ronny Markes

Red Corner

Yoel Romero

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1353

Elo

1382

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ronny Markes

oldest →

vs Karlos Vemola · Aug 11

vs Aaron Simpson · Feb 12

vs Andrew Craig · Jan 13

KOvs Thiago Santos · Mar 14

latest

Yoel RomeroL3 streak

oldest →

vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18

vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18

vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19

vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ronny MarkesMetricYoel Romero

2.17

Strikes / min

3.44

2.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

45%

Strike defense

60%

3.13

TDs / 15 min

1.57

100%

Takedown defense

78%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ronny MarkesYoel Romero

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ronny Markes(5 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.6|Blue +28.6

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +2.1|Blue -2.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ronny MarkesTargetYoel Romero

By target zone

16% acc · 50%

Head

40% acc · 54%

56% acc · 28%

Body

75% acc · 18%

44% acc · 22%

Leg

58% acc · 28%

By position

25% acc · 94%

Distance

48% acc · 88%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 8%

50% acc · 6%

Ground

40% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ronny Markes rounds

even

Yoel Romero rounds

Round 1Yoel Romero edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control0:48

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Yoel Romero edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Round 3Yoel Romero edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 75

Sig Strikes

50 / 104

26.3%

Sig Str %

50.7%

22 / 79

Total Strikes

52 / 107

2 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

16.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:48

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yoel Romero	16 / 41	16 / 41	0 / 1
1	Ronny Markes	4 / 22	7 / 25	2 / 4
2	Yoel Romero	21 / 43	23 / 46	0 / 0
2	Ronny Markes	8 / 38	9 / 39	0 / 1
3	Yoel Romero	13 / 20	13 / 20	0 / 0
3	Ronny Markes	6 / 15	6 / 15	0 / 1

Ronny Markes

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights5

Yoel Romero

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13