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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Saidyokub Kakhramonov won · U-DEC R3
Elo1496
Elo1497

Ronnie LawrencevsSaidyokub KakhramonovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Saturday, July 9, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Saidyokub Kakhramonov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRonnie Lawrence: WrestlervsSaidyokub Kakhramonov: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Saidyokub Kakhramonov wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Saidyokub Kakhramonov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Saidyokub Kakhramonov at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Saidyokub Kakhramonov has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ronnie Lawrence (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Ronnie Lawrence
Red Corner
VS
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1496
Elo
1497
34
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ronnie LawrenceW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Vince Cachero · Feb 21
W
vs Mana Martinez · Feb 22
latest
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
oldest →
W
SUBvs Trevin Jones · Aug 21
L
SUBvs Said Nurmagomedov · Dec 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ronnie LawrenceMetricSaidyokub Kakhramonov
2.78
Strikes / min
2.05
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
0.88
52%
Strike defense
58%
6.75
TDs / 15 min
6.63
45%
Takedown defense
83%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1517Strikes2.8 vs 2.0Takedowns6.8 vs 6.6Sub Atts0.20 vs 1.90Form1.0 vs 1.0
Ronnie LawrenceSaidyokub Kakhramonov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Ronnie Lawrence(3 fights)Saidyokub Kakhramonov(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ronnie LawrenceTargetSaidyokub Kakhramonov

By target zone

8
38% acc · 53%
Head
28
53% acc · 88%
4
44% acc · 27%
Body
1
33% acc · 3%
3
100% acc · 20%
Leg
3
100% acc · 9%

By position

14
44% acc · 93%
Distance
4
20% acc · 13%
1
100% acc · 7%
Clinch
7
78% acc · 22%
0
Ground
21
70% acc · 66%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ronnie Lawrence rounds
0
even
3
Saidyokub Kakhramonov rounds
Round 1Saidyokub Kakhramonov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:04
12Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
4:05Control
Round 2Saidyokub Kakhramonov edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:43Control
Round 3Saidyokub Kakhramonov edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
4:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
15 / 33
Sig Strikes
32 / 59
51.3%
Sig Str %
58%
16 / 34
Total Strikes
105 / 156
1 / 2
TDs
10 / 16
50%
TD %
62%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
12:19

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Saidyokub Kakhramonov12 / 1830 / 444 / 60
1Ronnie Lawrence4 / 65 / 70 / 10
2Saidyokub Kakhramonov11 / 2835 / 612 / 50
2Ronnie Lawrence8 / 218 / 211 / 10
3Saidyokub Kakhramonov9 / 1340 / 514 / 50
3Ronnie Lawrence3 / 63 / 60 / 00

Ronnie Lawrence

StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3

Saidyokub Kakhramonov

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3