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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rong Zhu won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1510
Rong Zhu
Elo1422

Rong ZhuvsBrandon JenkinsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Saturday, September 18, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rong Zhu won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:35

Model Prediction: Rong Zhu wins(73.3%)

Actual result: Rong Zhu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rong Zhu is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Brandon Jenkins has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Jenkins (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Rong Zhu
Red Corner
VS
Brandon Jenkins
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
1510
Elo
1422
21
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rong Zhu
oldest →
L
vs Kazula Vargas · Apr 21
latest
Brandon Jenkins
oldest →
L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Apr 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rong ZhuMetricBrandon Jenkins
—
Strikes / min
2.93
—
Strikes absorbed / min
8.05
—
Strike defense
33%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.00
—
Takedown defense
27%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1480 vs 1500Strikes4.3 vs 2.8Takedowns4.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Rong ZhuBrandon Jenkins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Rong Zhu(6 fights)Brandon Jenkins(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +88.4|Blue -88.4
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rong Zhu

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1

Brandon Jenkins

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2