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Women's Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Ronda Rousey won · SUB R3

Elo1359

Elo1495

Ronda RouseyvsMiesha TateUFC Prediction Result

UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · Saturday, December 28, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ronda Rousey won

SUB · Round 3 · 0:58

Style matchupRonda Rousey: WrestlervsMiesha Tate: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Miesha Tate wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Ronda Rousey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miesha Tate at +555 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ronda Rousey

Red Corner

Miesha Tate

Blue Corner

-680

(87%)

Vegas Odds

+555

(15%)

1359

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ronda RouseyL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alexis Davis · Jul 14

SUBvs Cat Zingano · Feb 15

KOvs Bethe Correia · Aug 15

KOvs Holly Holm · Nov 15

KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 16

latest

Miesha Tate

oldest →

KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21

vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22

SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23

vs Yana Santos · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ronda RouseyMetricMiesha Tate

4.17

Strikes / min

2.62

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

44%

Strike defense

51%

6.26

TDs / 15 min

1.97

50%

Takedown defense

56%

4.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ronda RouseyMiesha Tate

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ronda Rousey(8 fights)Miesha Tate(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -136.3|Blue +136.3

Recent Form

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ronda RouseyTargetMiesha Tate

By target zone

52% acc · 60%

Head

44% acc · 83%

86% acc · 15%

Body

80% acc · 17%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

By position

29% acc · 18%

Distance

42% acc · 54%

81% acc · 43%

Clinch

56% acc · 42%

89% acc · 40%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ronda Rousey rounds

even

Miesha Tate rounds

Round 1Ronda Rousey edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns3

Control2:08

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 2Ronda Rousey edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns3

Control4:20

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 3Ronda Rousey edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:37

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 63

Sig Strikes

24 / 50

62%

Sig Str %

34.3%

134 / 161

Total Strikes

28 / 54

6 / 8

TDs

1 / 3

58.3%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

7:05

Ctrl Time

1:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Miesha Tate	12 / 30	14 / 32	1 / 2	0
1	Ronda Rousey	20 / 33	63 / 78	3 / 4	0
2	Miesha Tate	12 / 19	14 / 21	0 / 1	0
2	Ronda Rousey	16 / 23	65 / 74	3 / 3	2
3	Miesha Tate	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0	0
3	Ronda Rousey	4 / 7	6 / 9	0 / 1	1

Ronda Rousey

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights8

Miesha Tate

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14