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Women's Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Holly Holm won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1359

Elo1497

Ronda RouseyvsHolly HolmUFC Prediction Result

UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · Saturday, November 14, 2015Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Holly Holm won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:59

Style matchupRonda Rousey: WrestlervsHolly Holm: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Holly Holm wins(61.7%)

Actual result: Holly Holm wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Holly Holm at +525 American odds

+$525 profit

$625 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Holly Holm has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Holly Holm has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ronda Rousey

Red Corner

Holly Holm

Blue Corner

-750

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+525

(16%)

1359

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ronda Rousey

oldest →

KOvs Sara McMann · Feb 14

KOvs Alexis Davis · Jul 14

SUBvs Cat Zingano · Feb 15

KOvs Bethe Correia · Aug 15

KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 16

latest

Holly Holm

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20

vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22

vs Yana Santos · Mar 23

SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ronda RouseyMetricHolly Holm

4.17

Strikes / min

3.13

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

2.92

44%

Strike defense

55%

6.26

TDs / 15 min

0.87

50%

Takedown defense

76%

4.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ronda RouseyHolly Holm

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ronda Rousey(8 fights)Holly Holm(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.6|Blue +138.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -17.0|Blue +17.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ronda RouseyTargetHolly Holm

By target zone

22% acc · 76%

Head

66% acc · 76%

67% acc · 24%

Body

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

22% acc · 76%

Distance

69% acc · 82%

67% acc · 24%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

75% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ronda Rousey rounds

even

Holly Holm rounds

Round 1Holly Holm edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:04

27Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 2Holly Holm edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 65

Sig Strikes

38 / 53

21.5%

Sig Str %

75.5%

21 / 69

Total Strikes

38 / 53

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Holly Holm	27 / 40	27 / 40	1 / 1
1	Ronda Rousey	15 / 50	19 / 54	0 / 1
2	Holly Holm	11 / 13	11 / 13	0 / 0
2	Ronda Rousey	2 / 15	2 / 15	0 / 0

Ronda Rousey

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights8

Holly Holm

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights15