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Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Ronda Rousey won · SUB R1
Elo1359
Ronda Rousey
Elo1491
Cat Zingano

Ronda RouseyvsCat ZinganoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · Saturday, February 28, 2015Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Ronda Rousey won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:14

Style matchupRonda Rousey: WrestlervsCat Zingano: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Cat Zingano wins(71.9%)

Actual result: Ronda Rousey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cat Zingano at +540 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cat Zingano is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Ronda Rousey has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cat Zingano (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ronda Rousey
Red Corner
VS
Cat Zingano
Blue Corner
-660
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+540
(16%)
1359
Elo
1491
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ronda RouseyL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Sara McMann · Feb 14
W
KOvs Alexis Davis · Jul 14
W
KOvs Bethe Correia · Aug 15
L
KOvs Holly Holm · Nov 15
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 16
latest
Cat Zingano
oldest →
W
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Sep 14
L
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 16
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Mar 18
W
vs Marion Reneau · Jul 18
L
KOvs Megan Anderson · Dec 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ronda RouseyMetricCat Zingano
4.17
Strikes / min
2.57
4.14
Strikes absorbed / min
1.63
44%
Strike defense
47%
6.26
TDs / 15 min
2.77
50%
Takedown defense
42%
4.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.94

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1562 vs 1533Strikes18.8 vs 37.5Takedowns2.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 2.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Ronda RouseyCat Zingano

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ronda Rousey(8 fights)Cat Zingano(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -132.5|Blue +132.5
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ronda RouseyTargetCat Zingano

By target zone

0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
0

By position

0
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ronda Rousey rounds
1
even
0
Cat Zingano rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:05
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 0
Sig Strikes
0 / 1
Sig Str %
0%
0 / 0
Total Strikes
0 / 1
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
1
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cat Zingano0 / 10 / 10 / 00
1Ronda Rousey0 / 00 / 00 / 01

Ronda Rousey

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8

Cat Zingano

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7