Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Ronda Rousey won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1359
Ronda Rousey
Elo1409
Bethe Correia

Ronda RouseyvsBethe CorreiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · Saturday, August 1, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Ronda Rousey won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:34

Style matchupRonda Rousey: WrestlervsBethe Correia: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ronda Rousey wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Ronda Rousey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ronda Rousey at -1700 American odds

+$6 profit

$106 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bethe Correia has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Bethe Correia has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ronda Rousey
Red Corner
VS
Bethe Correia
Blue Corner
-1700
(94%)
Vegas Odds
+1100
(8%)
1359
Elo
1409
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ronda RouseyL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Sara McMann · Feb 14
W
KOvs Alexis Davis · Jul 14
W
SUBvs Cat Zingano · Feb 15
L
KOvs Holly Holm · Nov 15
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 16
latest
Bethe CorreiaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19
W
vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20
L
vs Karol Rosa · Oct 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ronda RouseyMetricBethe Correia
4.17
Strikes / min
4.37
4.14
Strikes absorbed / min
4.93
44%
Strike defense
56%
6.26
TDs / 15 min
0.39
50%
Takedown defense
85%
4.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1577 vs 1546Strikes15.0 vs 74.7Takedowns1.6 vs 0.3Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Ronda RouseyBethe Correia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ronda Rousey(8 fights)Bethe Correia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ronda RouseyTargetBethe Correia

By target zone

17
57% acc · 89%
Head
9
64% acc · 100%
2
100% acc · 11%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

5
45% acc · 26%
Distance
3
50% acc · 33%
14
67% acc · 74%
Clinch
6
75% acc · 67%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ronda Rousey rounds
0
even
0
Bethe Correia rounds
Round 1Ronda Rousey edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
19 / 32
Sig Strikes
9 / 14
59%
Sig Str %
64%
19 / 32
Total Strikes
9 / 14
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bethe Correia9 / 149 / 140 / 00
1Ronda Rousey19 / 3219 / 320 / 00

Ronda Rousey

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8

Bethe Correia

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights11