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Women's Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Ronda Rousey won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1359

Elo1495

Ronda RouseyvsAlexis DavisUFC Prediction Result

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · Saturday, July 5, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ronda Rousey won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:16

Style matchupRonda Rousey: WrestlervsAlexis Davis: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ronda Rousey wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Ronda Rousey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ronda Rousey at -900 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alexis Davis has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ronda Rousey has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ronda Rousey

Red Corner

Alexis Davis

Blue Corner

-900

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+700

(13%)

1359

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ronda RouseyL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Sara McMann · Feb 14

SUBvs Cat Zingano · Feb 15

KOvs Bethe Correia · Aug 15

KOvs Holly Holm · Nov 15

KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 16

latest

Alexis Davis

oldest →

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19

vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19

vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ronda RouseyMetricAlexis Davis

4.17

Strikes / min

4.63

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

44%

Strike defense

54%

6.26

TDs / 15 min

0.95

50%

Takedown defense

34%

4.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ronda RouseyAlexis Davis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ronda Rousey(8 fights)Alexis Davis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -136.0|Blue +136.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ronda RouseyTargetAlexis Davis

By target zone

87% acc · 93%

Head

33% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Body

Leg

By position

67% acc · 29%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 64%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ronda Rousey rounds

even

Alexis Davis rounds

Round 1Ronda Rousey edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:04

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 16

Sig Strikes

2 / 6

87%

Sig Str %

33%

14 / 16

Total Strikes

2 / 6

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alexis Davis	2 / 6	2 / 6	0 / 0	0
1	Ronda Rousey	14 / 16	14 / 16	1 / 1	0

Ronda Rousey

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights8

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14