Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Middleweight
3 Rounds
Roman Kopylov won · Decision R3
Elo1520
Elo1485
Marco Tulio

Roman KopylovvsMarco TulioUFC Prediction Result

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA

Official fight result

Roman Kopylov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRoman Kopylov: Pressure fightervsMarco Tulio: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Marco Tulio wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Roman Kopylov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Roman Kopylov is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Marco Tulio has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Roman Kopylov has 88pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Roman Kopylov
Red Corner
VS
Marco Tulio
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1520
Elo
1485
34
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roman KopylovL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 24
W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24
W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25
L
vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25
L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25
latest
Marco Tulio
oldest →
W
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 25
W
KOvs Tresean Gore · Apr 25
L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roman KopylovMetricMarco Tulio
4.54
Strikes / min
6.02
5.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.12
TDs / 15 min
1.05
88%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54Δ 3.59 — meaningful gap+3.05
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Roman Kopylov(10 fights)Marco Tulio(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +35.3|Blue -35.3
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Roman Kopylov

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12

Marco Tulio

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4