Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Fremd threatens submissions; Roman Kopylov has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Roman Kopylov has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roman Kopylov
oldest →W
vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24W
KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25W
DECvs Marco Tulio · May 26 Josh Fremd
oldest →L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Apr 22L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Oct 22W
SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Aug 23L
vs Andre Petroski · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roman KopylovMetricJosh Fremd
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Roman KopylovJosh Fremd
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roman Kopylov(10 fights)Josh Fremd(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.8|Blue -24.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Roman KopylovTargetJosh Fremd
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Roman Kopylov edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:02
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 2Roman Kopylov edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
