Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tonight
Elo1497
Roman Dolidze editorial illustration
Elo1525
Reinier de Ridder editorial illustration

Roman DolidzevsReinier de RidderUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, August 22, 2026Sacramento, USA

Fight begins in

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Roman Dolidze vs Reinier de Ridder is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

Unlock every pick — $9/month

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Roman Dolidze is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Reinier de Ridder has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Roman Dolidze
Red Corner
VS
Reinier de Ridder
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1497
Elo
1525
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'4"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roman DolidzeL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24
W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25
L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26
latest
Reinier de RidderL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25
W
KOvs Bo Nickal · May 25
W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25
L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25
L
vs Caio Borralho · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roman DolidzeMetricReinier de Ridder
3.19
Strikes / min
2.47
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
48%
Strike defense
46%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
2.56
32%
Takedown defense
40%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801503152515481570← oldermost recent →
Roman Dolidze(10 fights)Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -27.6|Blue +27.6
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO65%

Historical win share: Roman Dolidze earned 56% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission35%

Historical win share: Reinier de Ridder earned 50% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Roman Dolidze

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14

Reinier de Ridder

StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6