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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Nassourdine Imavov won · M-DEC R5

Elo1497

Elo1541

Roman DolidzevsNassourdine ImavovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Saturday, February 3, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nassourdine Imavov won

M-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov wins(68.4%)

Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nassourdine Imavov at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Nassourdine Imavov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Nassourdine Imavov has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Roman Dolidze

Red Corner

Nassourdine Imavov

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1497

Elo

1541

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roman DolidzeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24

KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24

vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26

latest

Nassourdine ImavovW4 streak

oldest →

vs Sean Strickland · Jan 23

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roman DolidzeMetricNassourdine Imavov

3.19

Strikes / min

4.28

3.71

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

48%

Strike defense

58%

1.16

TDs / 15 min

0.74

32%

Takedown defense

81%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Roman DolidzeNassourdine Imavov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Roman Dolidze(10 fights)Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -43.3|Blue +43.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roman DolidzeTargetNassourdine Imavov

By target zone

12% acc · 41%

Head

54% acc · 63%

62% acc · 24%

Body

63% acc · 21%

46% acc · 35%

Leg

89% acc · 15%

By position

22% acc · 94%

Distance

52% acc · 60%

29% acc · 6%

Clinch

81% acc · 12%

Ground

73% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Roman Dolidze rounds

even

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

Round 1Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:28

Knockdowns0

51Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:10Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control2:43

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 3Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control2:17

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 4Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control2:33

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 5Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control1:10

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 152

Sig Strikes

112 / 189

22%

Sig Str %

55%

59 / 190

Total Strikes

154 / 248

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:11

Ctrl Time

3:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nassourdine Imavov	51 / 75	69 / 109	0 / 0	1
1	Roman Dolidze	8 / 33	8 / 35	0 / 1	0
2	Nassourdine Imavov	9 / 22	14 / 28	0 / 0	0
2	Roman Dolidze	5 / 30	17 / 50	0 / 0	0
3	Nassourdine Imavov	20 / 33	26 / 39	0 / 0	0
3	Roman Dolidze	8 / 29	15 / 38	0 / 0	0
4	Roman Dolidze	6 / 31	11 / 37	0 / 0	0
4	Nassourdine Imavov	14 / 26	22 / 34	0 / 0	0
5	Nassourdine Imavov	18 / 33	23 / 38	0 / 0	0
5	Roman Dolidze	7 / 29	8 / 30	0 / 3	0

Roman Dolidze

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11