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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Roman Dolidze won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1410

Roman DolidzevsLaureano StaropoliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Saturday, June 5, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Roman Dolidze won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Roman Dolidze wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Roman Dolidze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roman Dolidze at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Laureano Staropoli enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Laureano Staropoli has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Roman Dolidze has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Roman Dolidze

Red Corner

Laureano Staropoli

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1497

Elo

1410

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roman DolidzeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24

KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24

vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26

latest

Laureano StaropoliL3 streak

oldest →

vs Hector Aldana · Nov 18

vs Thiago Alves · May 19

vs Muslim Salikhov · Oct 19

DECvs Tim Means · Aug 20

vs Jamie Pickett · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roman DolidzeMetricLaureano Staropoli

3.19

Strikes / min

3.31

3.71

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

48%

Strike defense

54%

1.16

TDs / 15 min

0.83

32%

Takedown defense

48%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Roman DolidzeLaureano Staropoli

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Roman Dolidze(10 fights)Laureano Staropoli(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +87.8|Blue -87.8

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -224.0|Blue +224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roman DolidzeTargetLaureano Staropoli

By target zone

30% acc · 64%

Head

10% acc · 33%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 22%

100% acc · 36%

Leg

80% acc · 44%

By position

28% acc · 36%

Distance

21% acc · 78%

43% acc · 64%

Clinch

50% acc · 11%

Ground

50% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Roman Dolidze rounds

even

Laureano Staropoli rounds

Round 1Roman Dolidze edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control4:20

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Roman Dolidze edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns3

Control3:25

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control1:52

4Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 39

Sig Strikes

9 / 38

36%

Sig Str %

25.3%

52 / 89

Total Strikes

25 / 63

5 / 9

TDs

3 / 5

55.3%

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

9:37

Ctrl Time

0:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Laureano Staropoli	3 / 8	7 / 13	0 / 2
1	Roman Dolidze	4 / 11	22 / 31	2 / 3
2	Laureano Staropoli	2 / 14	8 / 23	1 / 1
2	Roman Dolidze	4 / 15	13 / 26	3 / 3
3	Laureano Staropoli	4 / 16	10 / 27	2 / 2
3	Roman Dolidze	6 / 13	17 / 32	0 / 3

Roman Dolidze

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

Laureano Staropoli

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6